It shows the storm probably tracking a little west of the keys. Also the most recent Hurricane Hunters flight found a somewhat weakened storm following its emergence from the claw of Haiti.
The storm came off of Hispaniola a little south of where I expected, which I think is what shifted the model guidance a little farther west. I wouldn't be surprised to see the track nudge a little farther west over the next 24 hours.
That is, of course, bad for the Gulf Coast. Once in the Gulf, this storm could well intensify significantly.
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I'm going to add "Do Not Use For Life Or Death Decisions" to every memo I publish from now on!
Thank you for this public service.
It's like the warnings on aircraft weather reports, etc, that say "Land at your own risk!". As if I sometimes landed at someone else's risk...
If the models are correct, then no matter where the thing lands, some part of Florida is screwed.
It's not a bad storm. The difference between a Cat 1 and a Cat 3 is (literally) logarithmic.
Of course it could intensify - but the least time it spends over water, the better for whatever part of Florida gets it.
Yeah, but aren't there a lot of FEMA roofs still left all over FL? I was thinking of those people.
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